12/18/2022 0 Comments Mad max fury road box officeSo let’s hope for the best, but temper our expectations with this pricey endeavor. If that were the case, Blade Runner 2049 may finish its run right around the $400 million mark, but it’ll be close. ($172 million off a $44 million opening), but slowed down overseas ($228 million). Realistically, the movie may play more like Tron: Legacy, which did well in the U.S. If that were the case, Alcon would still be praised for delivering a critically acclaimed feature (Villeneuve’s Arrival snuck into the Best Picture race last year), but would probably ending up losing money. If 2049 opens around Deadline’s $45 million expectations, it may struggle to cross the $400 million mark. That’s fine and dandy…and likely optimistic In this scenario, we get a worldwide gross of over/under $413 million, meeting Alcon’s needs. By all accounts, Fury Road is a modern masterpiece: A critical darling (97 fresh on Rotten Tomatoes), a box office success (378,858,340 worldwide). By that logic, we’re looking at a domestic total of over/under $165 million and an overseas gross of around $248 million (which is asking a lot of foreign markets). Let’s assume the Gosling-Ford flick carries the same multiplier as Fury Road (3.3x), approximates the same domestic/overseas splits (40 percent vs 60 percent) and opens on the higher end of expectations ($50 million). While not a perfect comparison- Fury Road was a shorter movie in a longer-running franchise-this would be a solid marker of success for 2049. Fury Road opened to $45.4 million domestic before going on to earn $378.8 million worldwide, per Box Office Mojo. The best case scenario would be for Blade Runner 2049 to play like Mad Max: Fury Road, another requel of a popular 1980s property that posted solid box office numbers and garnered several Oscar nominations, including Best Picture. It also has a handful of still-running and new movie competition that will nibble into its total take. But it was an arduous journey, as director George Miller, producer Doug Mitchell and production. However, it’s also a dense sci-fi meditation that runs close to three hours, limiting the amount of showings theaters can post in a single day. Mad Max: Fury Road has garnered critical acclaim and global box office of 375m and counting. Most importantly, the film is being universally lauded by critics as one of the best movies of 2017. Director Denis Villeneuve is one of the best filmmakers in all of Hollywood and the 35-year-old property should have cross-generational appeal. Working in the film’s favor are its two strong leads with through-the-roof recency bias appeal in Ryan Gosling (coming off the Oscar-winning La La Land) and original star Harrison Ford (coming off Star Wars: The Force Awakens).
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